SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Haka |
23.15% ( -0.16) | 22.95% ( 0.11) | 53.89% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( -0.65) | 43.72% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( -0.64) | 66.11% ( 0.65) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% ( -0.5) | 32.76% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.68% ( -0.57) | 69.32% ( 0.57) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( -0.21) | 16.17% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.37% ( -0.39) | 45.63% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 23.15% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.9% |
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