Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Haka had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
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