Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Haka | Draw | Gnistan |
43.42% ( -0.73) | 24.14% ( 0.33) | 32.44% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.44% ( -1.42) | 42.56% ( 1.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( -1.43) | 64.96% ( 1.43) |
Haka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% ( -0.89) | 19.8% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.14% ( -1.46) | 51.86% ( 1.46) |
Gnistan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( -0.44) | 25.41% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% ( -0.61) | 60.23% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Haka | Draw | Gnistan |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.07% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.44% |
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