SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Ekenas IF win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Ilves |
23.62% ( 0.29) | 24.56% ( 0.08) | 51.81% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% ( -0.05) | 50.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( -0.04) | 72.09% ( 0.04) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( 0.24) | 35.86% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( 0.25) | 72.64% ( -0.25) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0.17) | 19.33% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% ( -0.27) | 51.1% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.62% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 51.81% |
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