SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Oulu |
49.32% ( -0.45) | 23.88% ( 0.12) | 26.8% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( -0.29) | 44.52% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.28) | 66.89% ( 0.29) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( -0.28) | 18.15% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.88% ( -0.49) | 49.12% ( 0.49) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( 0.1) | 30.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.62% ( 0.12) | 66.38% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 26.8% |
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