SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SJK in this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Ilves |
39.33% ( -0.02) | 26.45% ( -0) | 34.22% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( 0.03) | 52.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.02% ( 0.03) | 73.98% ( -0.03) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 0.01) | 61.07% ( -0.01) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.03) | 29.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( 0.04) | 64.93% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.22% |
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