SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ilves in this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Ilves |
29.66% ( -0.14) | 25.09% ( 0.1) | 45.26% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( -0.51) | 48.02% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( -0.47) | 70.19% ( 0.47) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( -0.36) | 29.94% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% ( -0.43) | 66.05% ( 0.43) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( -0.2) | 21.25% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.85% ( -0.3) | 54.15% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.26% |
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