Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.