SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for SJK had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | SJK |
38.49% ( -0.15) | 25.69% ( -0.07) | 35.82% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.15% ( 0.33) | 48.85% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( 0.3) | 70.94% ( -0.29) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( 0.07) | 24.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( 0.1) | 59.54% ( -0.09) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.28) | 26.41% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( 0.38) | 61.57% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.49% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.82% |
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