SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | SJK |
27.49% ( -0.21) | 25.1% ( 0.07) | 47.41% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( -0.42) | 49.32% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( -0.38) | 71.37% ( 0.38) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.38) | 32.21% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.44) | 68.7% ( 0.44) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.11) | 20.83% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( -0.17) | 53.51% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.4% |
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