SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for SJK in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | SJK |
23.41% ( -0.62) | 23.36% ( -0.07) | 53.23% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( -0.34) | 45.24% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( -0.33) | 67.58% ( 0.34) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( -0.72) | 33.37% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( -0.81) | 69.99% ( 0.81) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( 0.13) | 16.95% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( 0.22) | 47.04% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.41% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.22% |
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