SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Gnistan |
52.97% ( 0.18) | 22.69% ( -0.06) | 24.34% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.72% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( 0.17) | 41.27% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( 0.17) | 63.67% ( -0.17) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( 0.12) | 15.61% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.39% ( 0.23) | 44.61% ( -0.22) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( 0) | 30.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( 0) | 66.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 24.34% |
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