SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
54.96% ( 0.37) | 23.6% ( 0.09) | 21.45% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% ( -0.92) | 48.43% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.44% ( -0.84) | 70.56% ( 0.84) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% ( -0.2) | 17.49% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.01% ( -0.35) | 47.98% ( 0.35) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( -0.97) | 36.98% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% ( -0.98) | 73.76% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.45% |
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