SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
43.06% ( 0.71) | 26.13% ( -0.13) | 30.81% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% ( 0.31) | 51.89% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( 0.27) | 73.64% ( -0.27) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.49) | 23.93% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( 0.7) | 58.15% ( -0.7) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.25) | 31.1% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( -0.29) | 67.42% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.81% |
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