Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for KTP had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a KTP win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
