Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Honka had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.