Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 74.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for KTP had a probability of 8.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a KTP win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.