Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.