Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for KTP had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a KTP win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
