Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Honka had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Honka win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for KuPS in this match.