Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
