Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Honka had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
