Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.