Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.

Result
IFK Mariehamn	Draw	SJK
30.53% ( 0.14)	26.06% ( 0.01)	43.41% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.3% (

0.03)

51.7% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.52% (

0.02)

73.48% (

-0.02)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

0.11)

31.2% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46% (

0.13)

67.54% (

-0.13)

SJK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

-0.06)

23.67% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22% (

-0.09)

57.78% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

IFK Mariehamn 30.53%

SJK 43.41%

Draw 26.06%

IFK Mariehamn	Draw	SJK
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.53%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.41%