SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
38.13% ( 0.02) | 26.02% ( 0.03) | 35.84% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.7% ( -0.13) | 50.3% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( -0.12) | 72.24% ( 0.11) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( -0.05) | 25.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% ( -0.06) | 60.72% ( 0.06) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -0.09) | 27.08% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0.12) | 62.46% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.84% |
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