SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
42.24% ( 4.02) | 26.06% ( -1.03) | 31.69% ( -2.99) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 2.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.7% ( 3.55) | 51.3% ( -3.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% ( 3.01) | 73.13% ( -3.02) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( 3.78) | 24.07% ( -3.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.64% ( 5.11) | 58.35% ( -5.11) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( -0.19) | 30.19% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( -0.23) | 66.35% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.61)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.69)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.4)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.37)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.32)Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.24% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.47) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -1.09)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -1.36) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.84)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.35)Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.69% |
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