Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for KTP had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a KTP win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.