Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for KTP had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a KTP win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.
