SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | SJK | 21 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Oulu | 21 | -1 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 21 | 8 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 21 | -10 | 21 |
| 11 | Lahti | 21 | -23 | 18 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 21 | -28 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
52.42% ( 0.04) | 24.58% ( 0) | 22.99% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( -0.05) | 50.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( -0.05) | 72.7% ( 0.05) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0) | 19.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( -0.01) | 51.13% ( 0.01) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.07) | 36.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.38% ( -0.07) | 73.62% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 22.99% |
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