SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ilves | 20 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 20 | -9 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 20 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 | Lahti | 20 | -23 | 17 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 19 | -27 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
57.34% ( 0.09) | 22.83% ( -0.03) | 19.83% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( 0.03) | 47.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( 0.02) | 69.49% ( -0.02) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( 0.04) | 16.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.26% ( 0.07) | 45.74% ( -0.07) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.05) | 37.96% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.27% ( -0.05) | 74.74% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.83% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.83% |
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