SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Oulu | 17 | -1 | 25 |
| 5 | Haka | 17 | -3 | 25 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 17 | 19 | 34 |
| 4 | Oulu | 17 | -1 | 25 |
| 5 | Haka | 17 | -3 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Oulu |
46.92% ( -0.36) | 25.43% ( 0.28) | 27.64% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% ( -1.11) | 50.6% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( -0.99) | 72.51% ( 0.99) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.62) | 21.57% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( -0.95) | 54.65% ( 0.96) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% ( -0.52) | 32.76% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.68% ( -0.59) | 69.32% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.64% |
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