SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 19 | 13 | 40 |
| 3 | Honka | 18 | 23 | 37 |
| 4 | Oulu | 19 | -1 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 19 | -11 | 18 |
| 11 | Lahti | 19 | -21 | 17 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 18 | -24 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
65.65% ( -1.22) | 20.26% ( 0.42) | 14.09% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% ( -0.03) | 46.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( -0.03) | 68.35% ( 0.03) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( -0.36) | 13.2% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.08% ( -0.74) | 39.92% ( 0.74) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.63% ( 1.2) | 44.37% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.57% ( 0.96) | 80.43% ( -0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
| 2-0 @ 12% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 65.63% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.26% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.09% |
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