Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for KTP had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a KTP win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
