Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for KTP had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a KTP win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.