Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.