Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.