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Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
May 8, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Hunter Stadium
SF

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Sydney FC

O'Donovan (59' pen.)
O'Doherty (46'), Jackson (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boogaard (76' og.)
Baumjohann (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawSydney FC
29.28%23.93%46.8%
Both teams to score 58.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94%43.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54%65.46%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31%27.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75%63.24%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42%18.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15%49.85%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 29.28%
    Sydney FC 46.8%
    Draw 23.92%
Newcastle JetsDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.14%
1-0 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 4.24%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 29.28%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-1 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 2.21%
0-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 46.8%

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