Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match.
