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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 59.36% | 22.07% | 18.56% |
| Both teams to score 52.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.18% | 45.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% | 68.14% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% | 15.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.43% | 43.57% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% | 38.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.75% | 75.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.53% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.56% |
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