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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
May 1, 2021 at 10.10am UK
Parramatta Stadium
SF

Western Sydney
3 - 2
Sydney FC

Kamau (12'), Duke (16'), McDonald (74')
Duke (30'), Troisi (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wilkinson (47'), Bobo (90+4')
McGowan (26'), Brattan (31')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawSydney FC
28.64%23.54%47.82%
Both teams to score 59.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35%41.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95%64.05%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59%27.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11%62.88%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37%17.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78%48.22%
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 28.64%
    Sydney FC 47.82%
    Draw 23.53%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.02%
1-0 @ 6.25%
2-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-1 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 7.28%
1-3 @ 5.45%
0-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 47.82%

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