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AU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
May 16, 2021 at 9.10am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
BR

Adelaide United
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Goodwin (23')
Caletti (14'), Halloran (79'), Yengi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neville (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
47.67%23.62%28.71%
Both teams to score 59.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99%42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59%64.41%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17%17.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43%48.56%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.05%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 47.67%
    Brisbane Roar 28.71%
    Draw 23.62%
Adelaide UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.41%
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.71%

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