Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
