Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
