Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
