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Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Apr 24, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford
SF

Central Coast
2 - 2
Sydney FC

Urena (6'), Simon (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ninkovic (45+2'), Buhagiar (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawSydney FC
26.65%24.42%48.94%
Both teams to score 55.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01%46.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76%69.24%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96%68.04%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74%19.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02%50.98%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 26.65%
    Sydney FC 48.93%
    Draw 24.42%
Central Coast MarinersDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-1 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 26.65%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-2 @ 8.26%
1-3 @ 5.22%
0-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.15%
0-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 48.93%

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