Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.