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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Apr 4, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
SF

Victory
0 - 3
Sydney FC


Kamsoba (14')
Kamsoba (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bobo (42'), Barbarouses (50'), Baumjohann (84' pen.)
McGowan (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
22.2%23.27%54.53%
Both teams to score 54.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8%46.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5%68.5%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99%35.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25%71.76%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17%46.83%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 22.2%
    Sydney FC 54.53%
    Draw 23.27%
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 6.19%
2-1 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 3.25%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.2%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-2 @ 9.36%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-3 @ 5.56%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.6%
0-4 @ 2.48%
2-4 @ 1.36%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.53%

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