Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
