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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Mar 27, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Central Coast Stadium
MV

Central Coast
1 - 1
Victory

Urena (30')
Stensness (29'), Clisby (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McManaman (20')
McManaman (49'), Shotton (64'), Ansell (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
42.47%26.28%31.25%
Both teams to score 52.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69%52.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99%74.01%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59%24.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17%58.83%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99%31.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68%67.32%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 42.47%
    Melbourne Victory 31.25%
    Draw 26.27%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.86%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.25%

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