Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
