Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.