Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.
