SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 39.56% | 23.43% | 37.01% |
| Both teams to score 63.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% | 38.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% | 60.32% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% | 19.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.42% | 51.58% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% | 20.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.48% | 53.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% 1-0 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.25% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.67% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.01% |
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